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OPTIMAL PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT IN UZBEKISTAN

📘 Volume 13 📄 Issue 2 📅 february 2025

👤 Authors

Fayzullokh Sattoriy 1
1. Senior Lecturer at Kimyo International University, -, Tashkent, Uzbekistan

📄 Abstract

This study explores optimal public debt management in Uzbekistan by integrating global benchmarks with local economic conditions. Using a modified debt sustainability framework and Quadratic functional model regression analysis of Uzbekistan data (2010?2022), we identify a growth-maximizing debt threshold of 58% of GDP?with a 2% fiscal buffer?to balance infrastructure financing with fiscal stability. Stress tests indicate that exceeding this level can destabilize debt dynamics under adverse shocks. Recommendations include formalizing a 58% debt ceiling, diversifying funding sources, hedging currency risk, and strengthening domestic capital markets.

🏷️ Keywords

Public Debt Management Debt-to-GDP Fiscal Buffer Currency Risk Debt Sustainability.

📚 How to Cite:

Fayzullokh Sattoriy , OPTIMAL PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT IN UZBEKISTAN , Volume 13 , Issue 2, february 2025, International Journal of Southern Economic Light (JSEL) ,

🔗 PDF URL

https://cdn.epratrustpublishing.com/article/202502-08-020084.pdf

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